Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.193240 3.742365 4.325694 4.988308 5.716926 6.490652 7.371312
2025-01-05 2.418338 3.176779 4.041856 5.087782 6.304455 7.662160 9.278680
2025-01-12 1.856062 2.722888 3.779516 5.129204 6.774877 8.685622 11.040748
2025-01-19 1.403487 2.304773 3.477766 5.054917 7.060324 9.469383 12.525436
2025-01-26 1.129663 2.060379 3.345117 5.149892 7.525172 10.456876 14.259847
2025-02-02 0.918239 1.858145 3.230803 5.237974 7.961315 11.401870 15.949615
2025-02-09 0.697664 1.593506 2.987397 5.115259 8.095079 11.949507 17.140284
2025-02-16 0.526493 1.368421 2.766348 4.992027 8.203288 12.448358 18.262532
2025-02-23 0.416771 1.224620 2.647797 4.998216 8.476072 13.156892 19.656488
2025-03-02 0.314036 1.065148 2.479159 4.907927 8.597290 13.654581 20.774486
2025-03-09 0.271102 1.020618 2.498538 5.104851 9.132537 14.719095 22.653453
2025-03-16 0.211726 0.919241 2.401849 5.105127 9.372506 15.377313 23.996531
2025-03-23 0.187089 0.900324 2.459315 5.366111 10.019295 16.628271 26.179394
2025-03-30 0.160722 0.868365 2.487589 5.578699 10.599110 17.798141 28.274239
2025-04-06 0.128807 0.807227 2.449269 5.672933 10.997768 18.717860 30.041399
2025-04-13 0.093071 0.714279 2.330743 5.616146 11.155044 19.291767 31.338567
2025-04-20 0.073991 0.670032 2.309698 5.728731 11.578782 20.253627 33.182434
2025-04-27 0.057846 0.626872 2.283999 5.828314 11.980668 21.186640 34.994159
2025-05-04 0.036926 0.540490 2.141911 5.698500 12.002463 21.558205 36.019734
2025-05-11 0.022053 0.463338 2.006042 5.566810 12.010995 21.904274 37.008070
2025-05-18 0.014300 0.418413 1.944403 5.573930 12.247531 22.591347 38.486127
2025-05-25 0.007550 0.361144 1.836089 5.476861 12.300730 22.998785 39.565204
2025-06-01 0.005887 0.355678 1.876946 5.689067 12.888964 24.227533 41.839101